Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleChatGPT (or other OpenAI) 77%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète18 janv. 26, 12:58 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
PolymarketWill chatGPT fall below 75% of AI Chatbot market share in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI chatbot overtake Google as the most used search engine by 2030?
Manifold MarketsBefore 2030, will it be reported that a professional sports team used AI film analysis to scout players?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
According to the SimilarWeb ranking, which chatbot site will have the most usage as of 1 January 2027? Current ranking: https://www.similarweb.com/top-websites/ai-chatbots-and-tools/
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 135,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7 k €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 325 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What will be the most-used AI chatbot by end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote ChatGPT (or other OpenAI) à 77% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand What will be the most-used AI chatbot by end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- What will be the most-used AI chatbot by end of 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment What will be the most-used AI chatbot by end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : According to the SimilarWeb ranking, which chatbot site will have the most usage as of 1 January 2027? Current ranking: https://www.similarweb.com/top-websites/ai-chatbots-and-tools/