Prévision communautaire actuelle
National 65.3%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète6 mars 26, 06:39 UTC24 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
After the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
PolymarketWill the CAQ still form the government after QC general election in 2026 ?
Manifold MarketsWill Opportunities Party get at least one seat in the next New Zealand General Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
PolymarketNew Zealand general election winner?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- The election will be held on 7 November 2026.
- The market resolves to whichever main party (National or Labour) forms the government following the election.
- A party must demonstrate to the Governor-General that they have the confidence of the House by securing a majority of votes in a confidence motion and getting a budget through parliament.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Governor-General and the New Zealand government regarding which party leader is appointed Prime Minister.
- See: https://www.beehive.govt.nz/ and https://gg.govt.nz/
Marchés ouverts
ChainlinkKALSHIWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
- Chainlink (LINK)-12.0pt41%
- Bitcoin (BTC)-1.0pt37%
- Solana (SOL)-4.0pt30%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 593,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 k €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
- ↑ 14+8.4pt100%
- ↓ 12+22.4pt100%
- ↓ 10+32.5pt100%
+12 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
- ↑ 12+48.0pt100%
- ↑ 1451%
- ↓ 1051%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Haven (YC S23)?
- Less than $10M or bankrupt64.7%
- $10M - $100M12.6%
- $100M - $1B12.6%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 43 €
- Volume 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Volume total
- 271,5 €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)?
- $10M - $100M45.4%
- Less than $10M or bankrupt44.5%
- $100M - $1B6.8%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 101,4 €
- Volume 24h
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election ?
- Manifold Markets cote National à 65% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election doit être résolu le 24 décembre 2026.
- Comment Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria