Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
PolitiqueOne-OffChessUS PoliticsÉlectionSport6mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesAucune activité de trading
Données au 10 sept. 2026, 19:31 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
National 0%En tête parmi 7 options
Qualité du marché
31 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueÉcart
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
10 sept. 26, 02:00 UTC15 mars 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
PolymarketWho will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?
KalshiWho will be a part of the next government of Sweden?
KalshiWho will be a part of the next government of Israel?
KalshiWhich parties will be part of the next government of Romania?
PolymarketRègles
If a coalition that includes National makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.
- A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government.
- This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances).
- A party governing alone qualifies under this ministerial-position test.
- A confidence and supply arrangement (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, counts only when expressly specified in the market’s party description.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 112,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2 M €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 184,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 891,3 k €
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Volume total
- 4,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 505,9 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Volume total
- 25,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 384,3 k €
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Volume total
- 2,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 358,3 k €
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- TX-15 House winner?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand? ?
- Kalshi cote National à 0% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand? doit être résolu le 15 mars 2027.
- Comment Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a coalition that includes National makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.