KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
AfD 42%-20.0ptEn tête parmi 7 options
Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
59,3 €
Liquidité
3,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
22.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
21 août 26, 19:00 UTC15 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the next minister-president of Saxony-Anhalt be from AfD?
Manifold MarketsNext government of Saxony-Anhalt?
Manifold MarketsNext minister president of Saxony-Anhalt?
Manifold MarketsNext Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?
KalshiSaxony-Anhalt state election: Greens vote percent
KalshiHow many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?
KalshiRègles
If a coalition that includes CDU make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.
- A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government.
- This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances).
- If a coalition that includes AfD make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a coalition that includes the named outcome make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt? ?
- Kalshi cote AfD à 42% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt? doit être résolu le 15 janvier 2027.
- Comment Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a coalition that includes CDU make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.