KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
AfD · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
AfD 60.5%En tête parmi 7 options
AfD 60.5%Qualité du marché
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
55,5 €
Intérêt ouvert
3,8 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
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AfDÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 31 minutes
21 août 26, 19:00 UTC15 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · AfD
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the next minister-president of Saxony-Anhalt be from AfD?
Manifold MarketsWill Ulrich Siegmund become the Prime Minister of Saxony-Anhalt by the end of the year (2026)?
Manifold MarketsWill Saxony-Anhalt call a snap election in 2026?
KalshiSaxony-Anhalt snap election called by which date?
PolymarketWill the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt elect a Ministerpraesident on or before 6 November 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext government of Saxony-Anhalt?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If a coalition that includes AfD make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances).
Règles de chaque résultat
- AfD
- If a coalition that includes AfD make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- BSW
- If a coalition that includes BSW make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- CDU
- If a coalition that includes CDU make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Greens
- If a coalition that includes Greens make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- SPD
- If a coalition that includes SPD make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- FDP
- If a coalition that includes FDP make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Die Linke
- If a coalition that includes Die Linke make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.