Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
8.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiqueÉlectionChessUS PoliticsSports3mo
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Labour Party 65%+4.5ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
25 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
366,2 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
11.0% / 78.0%
Spread
67.0 pt
Spread largeVariation 7j
+3.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
29 avr. 26, 23:437 nov. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Labour Party65%
Tendance du volume
$155 juil.8j de données22 juil.
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A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first New Zealand government formed after the 2026 New Zealand general election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the Governor-General after the 2026 New Zealand general election, with ministers appointed under non-caretaker circumstances.
- A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister.
- Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post will not qualify.