Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which parties will be part of the next Italian government? ?

Manifold Markets cote Brothers of Italy (Fratelli d'Italia) à 76.4% au 19 octobre 2026.

Which parties will be part of the next Italian government?

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Prévision communautaire actuelle

Brothers of Italy (Fratelli d'Italia) 76.4%

En tête parmi 10 options

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Variation 7j

0.0 pts

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 7 heures

Obsolète

7 janv. 26, 18:49 UTC31 déc. 27, 18:47 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

Resolution criteria

The next Italian general election will occur no later than 22 December 2027, though it may be called earlier as a snap election.
Each answer resolves YES if that party is part of the government coalition formed following the election.
Parties that are not part of the government coalition resolve NO.
If a party dissolves or merges before the election, it resolves N/A. Resolution will be based on official announcements from the Italian President's office or the Prime Minister regarding coalition composition.
The Meloni government is the current government of the Italian Republic, headed by Giorgia Meloni, leader of Brothers of Italy, and was sworn in on 22 October 2022.