Who will be a part of the next government of Sweden?
18.0 pts (24h)Corporate ActionsOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlectionSportsPolitiqueChess1a
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Swedish Social Democratic Party 86%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
63 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,1 k €
Liquidité
4,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneSpread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
19 août 26, 14:001 janv. 28, 15:00
Tendances
0%
Règles
If a coalition that includes the named outcome make up the next elected ruling government of Sweden before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.
- A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government.
- This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances).
- A party whose representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position — in Sweden, office as a minister (statsråd) — resolves YES A party that only supports the government from outside it, under a confidence and supply or cooperation agreement of the kind the the named outcome held under the 2022 Tidö Agreement, and holds no ministerial or cabinet-level position, does NOT resolve Yes Political appointees in the Government Offices who are not ministers — state secretaries (statssekreterare), political advisers and coordination-office staff — are NOT ministerial or cabinet-level positions Holding seats in the Riksdag is neither required nor sufficient.
- Swedish ministers do not have to be members of the Riksdag
