Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?
3.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffChessÉlectionSport1a
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Magdalena Andersson 73.9%+2.0ptEn tête parmi 4 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
66 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,1 k €
Liquidité
17,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
8 juil. 26, 00:00 UTC1 janv. 28, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
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Manifold MarketsRègles
If the named outcome becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Riksdag
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Jan 1, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election? ?
- Kalshi cote Magdalena Andersson à 74% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.