KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Christopher Luxon 44%En tête parmi 14 options
Qualité du marché
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
2,2 k €
Liquidité
2,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
33.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
10 sept. 26, 02:00 UTC7 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be elected New Zealand Prime Minister in the next election?
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Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of New Zealand?
PolymarketWill Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
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KalshiRègles
If the named outcome becomes Prime Minister of New Zealand as a result of government formation following the 2026 New Zealand general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Nov 7, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Nov 7, 2027, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.
- See full rules for details.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour New Zealand Prime Minister after the election? ?
- Kalshi cote Christopher Luxon à 44% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand New Zealand Prime Minister after the election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- New Zealand Prime Minister after the election? doit être résolu le 7 novembre 2027.
- Comment New Zealand Prime Minister after the election? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome becomes Prime Minister of New Zealand as a result of government formation following the 2026 New Zealand general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Nov 7, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.