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Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète7 déc. 25, 19:57 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
PolymarketAfD in a German state government?
KalshiWill the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected New Zealand Prime Minister in the next election?
Manifold MarketsIsrael’s next prime minister after the 2026 election
FutuurWho becomes Swedish Prime Minister after 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves based on any State Prime Minister (Ministerpräsident) elections in German state parliaments in 2026, whether after scheduled state elections or otherwise (e.g., a state PM resigning).
- Resolves YES if AfD MPs vote for a winning candidate AND their votes are necessary for the candidate to win.
- Resolves NO if all State Prime Ministers elected in 2026 are elected without necessary AfD support.
- Scheduled 2026 state elections:
- Baden-Württemberg (8 March)
- Rhineland-Palatinate (22 March)