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Données au 26 oct. 2026, 01:10 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleMagdalena Andersson (S) 75%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-3.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète23 sept. 25, 07:11 UTC30 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ulf Kristersson remain Swedish Prime Minister throughout the 2022-2026 term (until the next general election)?
Manifold MarketsWill any German State Prime Minister after a 2026 election be elected with AfD support?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Swedish prime minister?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected New Zealand Prime Minister in the next election?
Manifold MarketsNew Zealand Prime Minister after the election?
KalshiWho will be Latvia’s Prime Minister after the election?
KalshiRègles
Requires a successful investiture vote.
- Fresh elections without a successful investiture resolves N/A. If the government collapses soon after forming and another person becomes PM, it’s still the first to successfully become PM post-election that counts.
- Elections are in September 2026.
- Resolution is expected within about a month, or at least within the year, but can potentially drag on.
- For example, government formation after the 2018 elections took a record 134 days.
