Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?
3.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffÉlection1a
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Itamar Ben-Gvir · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Itamar Ben-Gvir 23%En tête parmi 24 options
Itamar Ben-Gvir 23%Qualité du marché
50 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
44,3 €
Intérêt ouvert
60,6 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
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Itamar Ben-GvirÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
9 oct. 26, 00:00 UTC27 oct. 27, 14:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Itamar Ben-Gvir
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
If Itamar Ben-Gvir formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:the Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersthe New York TimesThe Washington PostABC News AustraliaAl JazeeraDeutsche WelleCNBCBBCABCCBSCNNFox NewsMS NowNBCThe Wall Street Journal
- Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of National Security in the government formed after the 2026 Israeli legislative election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent reappointed to the post counts; later reshuffles, rotations and appointments do not. Nominations, coalition agreements and announcements do not count, nor do acting, caretaker or interim service or a head of government holding the portfolio only by default while it is unassigned. If the ministry is renamed or restructured, such as back to the Ministry of Public Security, the minister of a successor ministry with substantially the same responsibilities counts. If no government is formed after the election before Oct 27, 2027, including because a new election is called first, every market resolves No.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Itamar Ben-Gvir
- If Itamar Ben-Gvir formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yoram Cohen
- If Yoram Cohen formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yitzhak Wasserlauf
- If Yitzhak Wasserlauf formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Amir Ohana
- If Amir Ohana formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Matan Kahana
- If Matan Kahana formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ofer Winter
- If Ofer Winter formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yair Golan
- If Yair Golan formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Amichai Eliyahu
- If Amichai Eliyahu formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Avi Dichter
- If Avi Dichter formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Chili Tropper
- If Chili Tropper formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Elazar Stern
- If Elazar Stern formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gideon Sa'ar
- If Gideon Sa'ar formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Haim Katz
- If Haim Katz formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hamad Amar
- If Hamad Amar formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Limor Son Har-Melech
- If Limor Son Har-Melech formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Meirav Ben-Ari
- If Meirav Ben-Ari formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tally Gotliv
- If Tally Gotliv formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yoav Segalovitz
- If Yoav Segalovitz formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yossi Cohen
- If Yossi Cohen formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bezalel Smotrich
- If Bezalel Smotrich formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Eli Cohen
- If Eli Cohen formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ram Ben-Barak
- If Ram Ben-Barak formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Talya Lankri
- If Talya Lankri formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yoaz Hendel
- If Yoaz Hendel formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.