Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiqueÉlectionChessUS PoliticsSport1mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
National + ACT + NZF 46.1%-1.0ptEn tête parmi 18 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
127,9 €
Liquidité
226,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
8
Variation 7j
+4.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
4 mai 26, 20:12 UTC7 nov. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
PolymarketNew Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori
Manifold MarketsWill Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
Manifold MarketsNew Zealand Prime Minister after the election?
KalshiWho will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
KalshiRègles
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the next New Zealand general election.
- A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister.
- Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post will not qualify.
- The following parties will be considered for this market: ACT New Zealand (ACT), Labour Party (Labour), Te Pāti Māori (Maori), National Party (National), Green Party (Green), and New Zealand First Party (NZF).
- All other parties will not be considered.