Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 23 oct. 2026, 22:45 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Labour 53%+8.8ptEn tête parmi 10 options
Labour 53%+8.8ptPrévisionnistes
28
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-3.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 42 minutes
22 août 24, 00:03 UTC2 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election
Manifold MarketsFollowing the 2026 New Zealand election, which parties will be represented in parliament?
Manifold MarketsWhat combination of parties will form executive government after the 2026 Victorian state election?
Manifold MarketsWho will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?
KalshiWill the CAQ still form the government after QC general election in 2026 ?
Manifold MarketsNew Zealand general election winner?
KalshiRègles
Parties with ministers inside cabinet are considered part of forming a government.
- Parties who do not have ministers inside cabinet are not considered part of the government for the resolution of this question.
- So, in 2020, a similar question would only resolve positively for Labour.
- In 2023, it would resolve positively for National, the named outcome, and ACT.
- I will add new parties on request from 1 January 2026 if they are officially registered, or as I judge to be worthwhile adding.
- Parties included so far are those that ran in both 2020 and 2023.
