Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
National Party 55%+0.5ptEn tête parmi 7 options
National Party 55%+0.5ptPrévisionnistes
25
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+6.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
17 sept. 24, 05:51 UTC19 déc. 26, 10:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election
Manifold MarketsWill Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
Manifold MarketsAfter the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?
Manifold MarketsNew Zealand general election winner?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRègles
The next New Zealand general election is to be held on or before Saturday, 19 December 2026, most likely in November 2026 although it could be called at any time.
- Will be resolved based on the results available at https://electionresults.govt.nz/.
- Resolution will be for the largest party, not necessarily the party that enters government.
- Largest party will be by number of seats, using party vote percent if there is a tie.
