Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 06:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 95.5%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète26 févr. 25, 08:10 UTC7 nov. 26, 10:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the next Spanish general election be held before 2027?
Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of New Zealand?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of New Zealand?
Manifold MarketsChris Luxon NZ Prime Minister on 1 Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsChris Luxon NZ Prime Minister on 1 Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsBinyamin Netanyahu still Prime Minister of Israel through the end of 2026?
FutuurRègles
The latest the election may be held is 19 December 2026.
- It's likely the election will be held before that date so this will resolve on the election day.
- The date will be updated once the election date is announced, likely early 2026.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Christopher Luxon is still serving as the Prime Minister of New Zealand on the day the 2026 general election is held.
- The market will resolve to NO if:
