Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 82.6%
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète26 févr. 25, 08:10 UTC7 nov. 26, 10:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
PolymarketWill Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?
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Manifold MarketsLargest party in the next New Zealand general election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
The latest the election may be held is 19 December 2026.
- It's likely the election will be held before that date so this will resolve on the election day.
- The date will be updated once the election date is announced, likely early 2026.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Christopher Luxon is still serving as the Prime Minister of New Zealand on the day the 2026 general election is held.
- The market will resolve to NO if:
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 83% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held? doit être résolu le 7 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The latest the election may be held is 19 December 2026.