Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 02:41 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 99%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète15 juin 25, 12:14 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many seats will Vox get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the People's Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsSpanish general election: voter turnout
KalshiUkraine election held by which date?
PolymarketWill Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
Manifold MarketsRègles
After party secretary Santos Cerdán was involved in a corruption scandal, Sánchez dismissed him and apologized, but ruled out resigning or calling for a snap election.
- More specifically, Sánchez said 'there will be no election until 2027', but this political crisis might make his coalition partners of the leftist Sumar withdraw their support.
- This market resolves YES if a new general election is held in Spain before 2027.