Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the next Spanish general election be held before 2027? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.

Will the next Spanish general election be held before 2027?

PolitiqueOne-OffÉlection3mois

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 87.8%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 3 heures

Obsolète

15 juin 25, 12:14 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

After party secretary Santos Cerdán was involved in a corruption scandal, Sánchez dismissed him and apologized, but ruled out resigning or calling for a snap election.

More specifically, Sánchez said 'there will be no election until 2027', but this political crisis might make his coalition partners of the leftist Sumar withdraw their support.
This market resolves YES if a new general election is held in Spain before 2027.

Signaler un problème de données sur ce marché

Will the next Spanish general election be held before 2027?

PolitiqueOne-OffÉlection3mois

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 87.8%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 3 heures

Obsolète

15 juin 25, 12:14 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

After party secretary Santos Cerdán was involved in a corruption scandal, Sánchez dismissed him and apologized, but ruled out resigning or calling for a snap election.

More specifically, Sánchez said 'there will be no election until 2027', but this political crisis might make his coalition partners of the leftist Sumar withdraw their support.
This market resolves YES if a new general election is held in Spain before 2027.

Signaler un problème de données sur ce marché

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the next Spanish general election be held before 2027? ?: Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
Quand Will the next Spanish general election be held before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?: Will the next Spanish general election be held before 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
Comment Will the next Spanish general election be held before 2027? est-il réglé ?: Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : After party secretary Santos Cerdán was involved in a corruption scandal, Sánchez dismissed him and apologized, but ruled out resigning or calling for a snap election.

Will the next Spanish general election be held before 2027?

Will the next Spanish general election be held before 2027?

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