Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle40.0% or below? 100%En tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes
30
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+4.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète2 mars 26, 07:48 UTC31 déc. 26, 10:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
100%
100%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What are Donald Trumps real goals in relation with Greenland?
Manifold MarketsWill another pandemic occur under Donald Trumps Presidency?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these outcomes of the NYT vs. OpenAI lawsuit will occur?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
KalshiWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
PolymarketWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves according to vote hub: https://votehub.com/polls/ Average of polls.
- See image below for figure to be used.
- We will use the approve number to resolve this market.
- Just has to show once on the graph, does not have to stay below that number until the end of the year.
- If votehub shuts down I’ll find another reliable source
- Year ends at December 31 11.59pm Eastern Time.
Marchés ouverts
ChainlinkKALSHIWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
- Chainlink (LINK)-5.0pt42%
- Bitcoin (BTC)-1.0pt37%
- Ethereum (ETH)-7.0pt35%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 594,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 k €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
- ↑ 14+8.4pt100%
- ↓ 12+22.4pt100%
- ↓ 10+32.5pt100%
+12 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
- ↑ 12+48.0pt100%
- ↑ 14+0.5pt51%
- ↓ 1051%
+9 résultats de plus
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Haven (YC S23)?
- Less than $10M or bankrupt64.7%
- $10M - $100M12.6%
- $100M - $1B12.6%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 43 €
- Volume 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Volume total
- 271,2 €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)?
- $10M - $100M45.4%
- Less than $10M or bankrupt44.5%
- $100M - $1B6.8%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 101,3 €
- Volume 24h
- Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?
- In what year will humans have more sex with robots than with other humans
- Will Link speak in the Zelda movie?
- Who DOSsed Finnish Defence Ministry web pages? (suggest answers, may take time to resolve)
- Days without sunspots in 2026.
- 🌐Which social platforms will reach 500M or more users by the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]
- Who is the unidentified person on the cover of Sgt. Pepper's Lonely Hearts Club Band?
- Messi vs Ronaldo: who's gonna have more career goals? 🥅
- Manifold Meta-Futarchy 2026
- When will consumer AI be able to read me a book
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 40.0% or below? à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves according to vote hub: https://votehub.com/polls/ Average of polls.