Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 16:20 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle40.0% or below? 100%En tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes
33
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète2 mars 26, 07:48 UTC31 déc. 26, 10:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What are Donald Trumps real goals in relation with Greenland?
Manifold MarketsWill another pandemic occur under Donald Trumps Presidency?
Manifold MarketsWill a major war in Asia occur during Donald Trumps Presidency?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these outcomes of the NYT vs. OpenAI lawsuit will occur?
Manifold MarketsOf these potential 2028 candidates for president, who will be the first 3 to officially run?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolves according to vote hub: https://votehub.com/polls/ Average of polls.
- See image below for figure to be used.
- We will use the approve number to resolve this market.
- Just has to show once on the graph, does not have to stay below that number until the end of the year.
- If votehub shuts down I’ll find another reliable source
- Year ends at December 31 11.59pm Eastern Time.
