At end of year 2026, how difficult will it be to obtain feminizing HRT as an adult in blue states?
ChainlinkPolitique commercialeOne-OffIA2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
About the same as in 2024 64.6%En tête parmi 4 options
About the same as in 2024 64.6%Prévisionnistes
70
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète14 juil. 24, 17:30 UTC1 janv. 27, 05:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Some example scenarios for each option (this is not exhaustive, just representative):
- Notably easier: HRT is available over the counter; DIY HRT is completely legal rather than grey market or significantly cheaper.
- About the same: an HRT prescription can be obtained via informed consent at Planned Parenthood or similar; DIY HRT is grey market but in practice is only infrequently confiscated.
- Notably more difficult: an HRT prescription requires long waits or the approval of several experts; DIY HRT is confiscated somewhat frequently or is significantly more expensive.
- the named outcome: an HRT prescription is essentially illegal; DIY HRT carries significant legal risk.
- HRT is hormone replacement therapy, and includes various forms of estrogen/estradiol, anti-androgens, and progesterone.
