When will the US enact a universal basic income of at least $500/month per adult?
InflationOne-OffPolitique commercialePolitiqueÉlectionManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNot by the end of 2050 75.1%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète30 sept. 26, 00:07 UTC1 janv. 51, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves to the calendar-year bucket (Eastern Time) in which the US enacts a federal universal basic income, as defined below.
- The buckets roughly follow presidential terms.
- If none is enacted by December 31, 2050, it resolves to "the named outcome".
- I'll resolve early as soon as a qualifying law is enacted.
- What counts.
- A federal statute that becomes law (signed by the President, passed over a veto, or enacted without signature) and creates or amends a cash payment program so that it meets all five conditions:
