Prévision communautaire actuelle
https://manifold.markets/Stralor/manifold-the-site-2026-prop-bets 43%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète2 mai 26, 23:04 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich publicly traded US companies will do a purely-LLM-performance-based layoff in 2026?
Manifold Markets🌐 Which of the fifty most-visited websites today will still be in the top 50 in a decade? (2024-2034)
Manifold MarketsWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
KalshiWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
PolymarketWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
PolymarketRègles
Which markets will I judge to be helpful in improving Manifold's monetization in 2026?
- Futarchy is so 90s.
- We're doing meta-futarchy now.
- Create a market about some topic relevant to monetizing this platform (it can be a true futarchy-style decision market or just a normal market), and link to it as an answer on this market.
- At the end of the year, I will review each market, and will resolve each affirmatively if we use an insight which we've uniquely obtained from that market to generate at least $10k in revenue in 2026.
Marchés ouverts
ChainlinkKALSHIWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
- Chainlink (LINK)-6.0pt44%
- Ethereum (ETH)+2.0pt41%
- Bitcoin (BTC)+1.0pt37%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 592,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 839,5 €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
- ↑ 14+8.4pt100%
- ↓ 12+22.4pt100%
- ↓ 10+32.5pt100%
+12 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
- ↑ 12+48.0pt100%
- ↑ 14-0.5pt51%
- ↓ 1051%
+9 résultats de plus
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho is the unidentified person on the cover of Sgt. Pepper's Lonely Hearts Club Band?
- Screamin' Jay Hawkins25.1%
- Charlie Chaplin25.1%
- Amelia Earhart24.6%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 18,1 €
- Volume 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSMessi vs Ronaldo: who's gonna have more career goals? 🥅
- Cristiano Ronaldo86.2%
- Leo Messi13.8%
- Volume total
- 364,5 €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will consumer AI be able to read me a book
- Before Jan 1, 202950%
- Before Jan 1, 202839%
- Before January 1, 202737%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 235,1 €
- Volume 24h
- No Game No Life season 2 release date?
- Exit valuation of CambioML (YC S23)?
- At the end of 2075 which country will have the tallest standing building?
- Exit valuation of Spine AI (YC S23)?
- Will guzey.com have a crypto or cashapp/venmo donate link by EOY2026?
- Which country will be the next to become an official member state of the United Nations?
- Which publicly traded US companies will do a purely-LLM-performance-based layoff in 2026?
- BNB Up or Down - September 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
- Solana Up or Down - September 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
- Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Manifold Meta-Futarchy 2026 ?
- Manifold Markets cote https://manifold.markets/Stralor/manifold-the-site-2026-prop-bets à 43% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Manifold Meta-Futarchy 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Manifold Meta-Futarchy 2026 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Manifold Meta-Futarchy 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Which markets will I judge to be helpful in improving Manifold's monetization in 2026?