Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 12:15 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Tesla Robotaxi Dies 14.8%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète23 juin 25, 17:46 UTC1 janv. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service be suspended in CA for 30 days before the end of 2027? [description]
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Tesla Robotaxi be available to purchase?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?
Manifold MarketsTesla robotaxi on fire by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich publicly traded US companies will do a purely-LLM-performance-based layoff in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
https://x.com/powerbottomdad1/status/1936912446285050355
- Will Powerbottom Dad's prediction that Waymo, and Uber, will die due to the popularity of Tesla Robotaxi or the combination of suboptimal technology and the high CapEx required for their own service come true in the next few years?
- Will resolve based on evidence that Tesla's service was a chief factor, or at least that the prediction is directionally true and the CapEx of Waymo has been proven to be unsustainable.
- I suspect this will generate some healthy debate in the comments, and that eventually we may desire to have polls.
- Bonus market for the inversion that actually Robotaxis die
- [link preview]
