PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
September 29 30%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
62 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
8,7 k €
Liquidité
30,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
4.8 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes
22 sept. 26, 23:38 UTC30 sept. 26, 20:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Non
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will ballistic missile with range over 500km launched from Ukraine hit any target in Russia in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump visit Moscow (capital of Russia) in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill the largest gay club in Moscow shut down in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWas the Moscow concert hall attack a false flag?
Manifold MarketsNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 316%
- September 30-0.3pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 65 M €
- Volume 24h
- 381,5 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt62%
- October 31-6.0pt33%
- September 30-4.0pt8%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms+0.7pt14%
- Save the Children+2.4pt12%
- Yulia Navalnaya-0.5pt7%
+28 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+4.0pt79.2%
- Yes-4.0pt20.8%
- Volume total
- 11 M €
- Volume 24h
- 209,6 k €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 25-0.1pt97%
- September 30-1.0pt90%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 185,3 k €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Volume total
- 60,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 162,9 k €
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Trump renames AI by September 30?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Zelenskyy say during the United Nations General Assembly?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Ukraine target Moscow on? ?
- Polymarket cote September 29 à 30% au 23 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Ukraine target Moscow on? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Ukraine target Moscow on? doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will Ukraine target Moscow on? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time.