PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
September 13 100%
Qualité du marché
70 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
6,4 k €
Liquidité
19 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
99.9% / 100.0%
Écart
0.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
9 sept. 26, 21:23 UTC17 sept. 26, 20:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
100%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Russia target Kyiv on?
PolymarketFK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi - First Team to Score
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PolymarketRussia's Next Target
Manifold MarketsWill russia occupy kyiv at any point before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRussia to take Kyiv by force in 2026?
FutuurRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, Kyiv time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Russia target Kyiv by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote September 13 à 100% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Russia target Kyiv by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Russia target Kyiv by which date? doit être résolu le 17 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will Russia target Kyiv by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, Kyiv time.