FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 93%
Non 93%Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
822 €
Faible liquiditéTraders
6
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0
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Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
This event predicts whether Russian armed forces will take control of the city of Kyiv through kinetic military action at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official statements by the Ukrainian government or widely recognized international reporting confirming control of the city.
- If Russian forces gain full control of Kyiv through military force during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If Russia takes control of part but not all of Kyiv, Futuur will use its discretion to determine whether this constitutes effective control.
- Only kinetic military action will count; political agreements or non-kinetic influence will not.