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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

0.1% (24h)One-OffRussia / Ukraine18j
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
December 31
December 31 6%+0.5%
En tête parmi 3 options
Qualite du marche

64 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

2,2 k €

Liquidité

24,8 k €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

0.4% / 0.7%

Spread

75.0%

Spread large
Variation 7j

-0.7%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes

5 janv. 26, 21:2230 juin 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
March 31
March 31
0%

Résultat choisi

December 316%

Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia militarily captures the entirety of Donetsk Oblast by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Donetsk Oblast will be considered captured when the entirety of the below-specified municipalities is simultaneously shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If those areas are not simultaneously shaded red by the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The relevant municipalities in Donetsk Oblast that must be simultaneously captured in their entirety are: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, Pokrovsk, Dobropillia, Oleksandrivka, Cherkaske, and Sviatohirsk.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.

Marchés Associés

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Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

80,9 k €
December 31: 16%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

48,8 k €
December 31,: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

46 k €
Oui: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

When will Russia capture Kostyantynivka?

675,6 €
Before February: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Ukraine lose more territory in 2026 than it did in 2025?

446,9 €
Oui: 14.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

129,9 €
Oui: 19%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

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Actualités Associées

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Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia militarily captures the entirety of Donetsk Oblast by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Donetsk Oblast will be considered captured when the entirety of the below-specified municipalities is simultaneously shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If those areas are not simultaneously shaded red by the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The relevant municipalities in Donetsk Oblast that must be simultaneously captured in their entirety are: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, Pokrovsk, Dobropillia, Oleksandrivka, Cherkaske, and Sviatohirsk.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.