PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 95%-1.0pt
Qualité du marché
67 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
176,4 €
Liquidité
12,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
4.0% / 6.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-1.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
5 nov. 25, 19:38 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Israel annex any territory by which date?
PolymarketWill Israel annex any part of Lebanon before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel annex a part of Gaza in the next 3 years (Nov 17 2027)?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel annex at least 15% of Syria by 2029?
Manifold MarketsIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
PolymarketAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
- Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marchés ouverts
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 25,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume total
- 6,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 107,6 k €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volume total
- 1,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 104,5 k €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 95% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.