Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 87.9%
Prévisionnistes
36
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète17 nov. 24, 22:44 UTC18 nov. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Israel annex any part of Lebanon before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
PolymarketWill Israel annex any territory by which date?
PolymarketWill Israel annex at least 15% of Syria by 2029?
Manifold MarketsForeign intervention in Gaza by which date?
PolymarketRègles
The market resolves YES if through some official channel, Israel proclaims its sovereignty over territory of Gaza hitherto outside its domain, before Nov 17 2027.
- Resolves NO on Nov 17 2027 otherwise.
- See also: @/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-a-part-of-gaza-by @/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-a-part-of-the-wes @/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-part-of-palestine
- @/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-a-part-of-gaza-in (this market)
Marchés ouverts
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 25,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume total
- 6,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 107,6 k €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volume total
- 1,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 104,5 k €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Israel annex a part of Gaza in the next 3 years (Nov 17 2027)? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Israel annex a part of Gaza in the next 3 years (Nov 17 2027)? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Israel annex a part of Gaza in the next 3 years (Nov 17 2027)? doit être résolu le 18 novembre 2027.
- Comment Will Israel annex a part of Gaza in the next 3 years (Nov 17 2027)? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The market resolves YES if through some official channel, Israel proclaims its sovereignty over territory of Gaza hitherto outside its domain, before Nov 17 2027.