Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
16.5 pts (24h)One-OffGéopolitiqueMiddle East3mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 65%-16.5pt
Qualité du marché
39 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
338,2 €
Liquidité
470,6 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
25.0% / 45.0%
Écart
20.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
5
Variation 7j
+15.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
31 mars 26, 19:44 UTC31 déc. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
- For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
- Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
- Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.