Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by which date?
3.9 pts (24h)GéopolitiqueOne-OffMiddle EastRussia / Ukraine22j
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
September 30 9%-0.5ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
16,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-17.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
26 juil. 26, 22:34 UTC30 sept. 26, 20:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketRègles
On July 25, 2026, Ukraine said it struck the cargo vessels Port Olya 2 and Begey in the Caspian Sea, alleging that they were involved in transporting military cargo between Russia and Iran.
- You can read more about the strikes here: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-says-ukraine-killed-11-tourist-camp-ukraine-strikes-russian-refinery-2026-07-25/.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a strike against any vessel in the Caspian Sea attributed to Ukraine between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) which impact a vessel anywhere in the Caspian Sea, regardless of flag, ownership, or damage level.
- Strikes attributed to Ukraine by media or third parties will qualify, regardless of whether Ukraine publicly denies involvement or if definitive attribution is not confirmed.