PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 16%+0.0%
Qualite du marche
89 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
538,4 k €
Liquidité
316,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
15.0% / 16.0%
Spread
6.7%
Spread modéréVariation 7j
+6.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
2 juil. 26, 21:4931 août 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes16%
Comparer les plateformes· No
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Élevée | 85% | — | 538,4 k € | 316,3 k € | il y a 17 minutes | |
 Manifold Markets85% de correspondance · auto | — | 94% | — | — | — | il y a 17 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
Strait of Hormuz returns to normal by end of August 31?
1mo
93.8%
6.2%
Prévision communautaire21 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$1.7k86.0%POLYMARKETNoV1nch0u-7 h
POLYMARKETNoV1nch0u-7 h$2.1k85.0%POLYMARKETNoMwhale-11 h
POLYMARKETNoMwhale-11 h$2.5k84.7%POLYMARKETNoasawq-12 h
POLYMARKETNoasawq-12 h$1.3k89.0%POLYMARKETNoStarMasteravant-hier
POLYMARKETNoStarMasteravant-hier$1.8k88.0%POLYMARKETNosimtrades-3 j
POLYMARKETNosimtrades-3 j$1.5k85.0%POLYMARKETNoWalkStreetIn-3 j
POLYMARKETNoWalkStreetIn-3 j$1.7k86.0%POLYMARKETNoback-in-whack-5 j
POLYMARKETNoback-in-whack-5 j$12.0k89.0%POLYMARKETNoskibabiba-11 j
POLYMARKETNoskibabiba-11 jTendance du volume
$612.6k3 juil.24j de données26 juil.
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When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.