PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31, 33%+5.0pt
Qualité du marché
46 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
2 k €
Liquidité
1,3 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
13.7% / 19.8%
Écart
6.1 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+8.8 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
11 sept. 26, 23:58 UTC1 juil. 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?
PolymarketNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by which date?
PolymarketSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
PolymarketWill there be fighting in St. Petersburg, Russia’s major northern city, during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a crossing of the Bab-el-Mandeb, between Yemen and Djibouti or Eritrea, have started construction by 2040?
Manifold MarketsYemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if active military personnel officially affiliated with Saudi Arabia enter Yemen for combat-related military purposes by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, they must be 1) officially acknowledged as active military by Saudi Arabia; 2) be publicly acknowledged to have entered Yemen for a combat-related military purpose.
- For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution they need be active duty and acknowledged as described above.
- Participation in a combat role is necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes" (e.g. military personnel providing training or intelligence support would not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, however infantry engaging Yemeni forces, or personnel conducting combat operations from Yemeni soil would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution).
- Only members of the regular armed forces of Saudi Arabia will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+2.8pt97%
- September 25-0.5pt86%
- September 3078%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 947,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 688,2 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt60%
- October 31+1.0pt34%
- September 30-2.0pt9%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 58,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 289,1 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+2.0pt21%
- October 31+4.0pt14%
- September 30+0.3pt3%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- No Meeting by September 30-0.8pt87.9%
- USA+1.3pt11.1%
- Pakistan-0.5pt1%
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Israel military action against Yemen by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote December 31, à 33% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by which date? doit être résolu le 1 juillet 2027.
- Comment Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if active military personnel officially affiliated with Saudi Arabia enter Yemen for combat-related military purposes by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.