NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by which date?
US PoliticsOne-OffGéopolitiqueRussia / UkraineEurope3mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
2026 7%En tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
14,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneCommentaires
14
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
31 janv. 25, 23:41 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be fighting in St. Petersburg, Russia’s major northern city, during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill America send troops to Iran?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia remove troops from Georgia in 2026?
FutuurWill the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich countries will deploy troops to Ukraine in 2026?
FutuurRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if active military personnel officially affiliated with any NATO or EU country enter Ukraine for combat-related military purposes directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, they must be 1) officially acknowledged as active military by the NATO or EU entity or member state they are affiliated with; 2) be publicly acknowledged by NATO or an EU-affiliated entity to have entered Ukraine for a combat-related military purpose directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia.
- For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution they need be active duty and acknowledged as described above.
- Participation in a combat role is necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes" (e.g. military personnel providing training or intelligence support would not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, however drone pilots or infantry directly attacking Russian troops, or soldiers targeting and downing missiles from Ukrainian soil would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution).
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
