NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by which date?
Politique américaineOne-OffGéopolitiqueRussie / UkraineEurope2mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 10:36 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
2026 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Référence enregistrée
2026 5%En tête parmi 3 options
2026 5%Qualité du marché
46 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
2,3 €
Liquidité
15,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneIntérêt ouvert
4,1 k $US
Achat / Vente
— / —
2026Écart
—
Commentaires
14
Variation 7j
+1.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard31 janv. 25, 23:41 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
2025Perdu
June 30, 2026Perdu
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 0,1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Non
Principaux détenteurs
Chargement des principaux détenteurs
Profondeur du marché · 2026
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?
PolymarketSaudi troops fighting in Yemen by which date?
PolymarketWill there be fighting in St. Petersburg, Russia’s major northern city, during 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf NATO troops fight in the Ukraine war, will Russia use a nuclear weapon?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
Manifold MarketsWill the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026?
FutuurRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if active military personnel officially affiliated with any NATO or EU country enter Ukraine for combat-related military purposes directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, they must be 1) officially acknowledged as active military by the NATO or EU entity or member state they are affiliated with; 2) be publicly acknowledged by NATO or an EU-affiliated entity to have entered Ukraine for a combat-related military purpose directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia.
- For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution they need be active duty and acknowledged as described above.
- Participation in a combat role is necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes" (e.g. military personnel providing training or intelligence support would not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, however drone pilots or infantry directly attacking Russian troops, or soldiers targeting and downing missiles from Ukrainian soil would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution).
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
