PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleDecember 31, 2%-0.1%
Qualite du marche
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
134,7 €
Liquidité
15,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
2.0% / 2.6%
Spread
30.0%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-3.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 26 minutes
13 févr. 26, 0:0831 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
December 31,2%
Tendance du volume
$1533 juil.21j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
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Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
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Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
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POLYMARKETWestern major media calls Tibet Xizang before 2027?
290,8 €Oui: 15%MANIFOLD MARKETS
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MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Lai is released from custody by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Lai is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
- If Lai is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
- Transporting Lai to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
- Extradition of Lai to another country where he remains in custody will also not count.