PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 93.1%
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,8 €
Liquidité
2 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
6.0% / 7.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréComments
2
Variation 7j
+0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
15 mai 26, 22:0331 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify.
- Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
- Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
- The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marchés ouverts
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.2pt4%
- September 30-0.1pt2%
- April 300%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 55,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 127,9 k €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202924%
- Before 2028-1.0pt17%
- Before 2027-0.1pt6%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 30,5 M €
- Volume 24h
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- No96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 15 k €
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- 177%
- 2-1.0pt21%
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- No95%
- Yes-1.0pt5%
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 93% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.