Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by which date?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffGéopolitiqueMiddle East3mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesAucune cotation en direct
Données au 15 sept. 2026, 10:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 5%
Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
17,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
- / 0.1%
Commentaires
12
Variation 7j
-0.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
4 mars 26, 18:47 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.
- An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote December 31 à 5% au 15 septembre 2026.
- Quand Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by which date? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.