PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleDecember 31 9%
Qualite du marche
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,5 k €
Liquidité
28,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
1.6% / 1.8%
Spread
12.5%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-0.1%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
4 mars 26, 18:4731 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
December 319%
Marchés Associés
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
4,5 M €December 31: 68%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
1,3 M €July 31: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?
839,6 k €June 30: 31%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4,6 k €Oui: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow long will “indefinite extension” US x Iran ceasefire hold? (Weeks)
1,9 k €3 weeks+ (May 12th, 1pm): 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US-Iran nuclear deal?
765,4 €Before July: 8%
KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto News
The Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto News
No-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.News
Major cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%Coindesk
Year-end odds on Israel–Indonesia ties shift in PolymarketBlockchain.News
US Sanctions Iran’s Nobitex Crypto Exchange Over Sanctions EvasionBlockchain.NewsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.
- An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.