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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Économie
  3. Government shutdown by October 1?
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

ÉconomieOne-OffPolitique3mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 43%
Qualite du marche

28 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

5,2 €

Liquidité

164,5 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

24.0% / 61.0%

Spread

154.2%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes

10 juin 26, 16:382 oct. 26, 3:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes43%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government enters a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A U.S. federal government shutdown is considered to have gone into effect when there is a lapse in appropriations that results in federal government agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typically including the furlough of non-excepted federal employees.
  • A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress fails to enact, or the President fails to sign into law, legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
  • A lapse in appropriations where no federal agencies cease or suspend non-excepted operations will not qualify as a shutdown.
  • Partial shutdowns qualify.

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Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

2,5 €
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US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

3,2 k €
Oui: 20%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

792,6 €
5.0%: 17%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

259,9 €
Oui: 27.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
June Unemployment Rate

June Unemployment Rate

134,5 €
4.3%: 32%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,632.16+2.05%EthereumETH$1,649.51+1.21%SolanaSOL$65.05+1.41%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.56%XRPXRP$1.12+0.17%BNBBNB$594.80+1.45%

Actualités Associées

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Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government enters a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A U.S. federal government shutdown is considered to have gone into effect when there is a lapse in appropriations that results in federal government agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typically including the furlough of non-excepted federal employees.
  • A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress fails to enact, or the President fails to sign into law, legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
  • A lapse in appropriations where no federal agencies cease or suspend non-excepted operations will not qualify as a shutdown.
  • Partial shutdowns qualify.