PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle1.5–2.0% 45%+3.0%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
327,3 €
Liquidité
10 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
40.0% / 49.0%
Spread
22.5%
Spread largeVariation 7j
+10.1%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
12 nov. 25, 23:1829 janv. 27, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
1.5–2.0%45%
Tendance du volume
$3722 juil.25j de données26 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
10,6 k €Above 3.4%: 31%
KALSHI
KALSHI
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3,9 k €0-1%: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Recession this year?
3,2 k €Oui: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
2026: Trump's dream year?
1,8 k €Oui: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1,7 k €Soft Landing: 59%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US recession by end of 2026?
467,7 €Oui: 12%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Règles
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
- Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026.
- Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.