PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelle>2.5% 43%-5.0%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
6,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
4.1% / 8.8%
Spread
114.6%
Spread largeVariation 7j
+1.8%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
12 nov. 25, 23:2229 janv. 27, 0:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
>2.5%43%
Également disponible sur Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2026?
0.1%8mo
+0.1%26%
5%
3%
+11 résultats de plus
44 • Faible qualitéSpread modéréFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total2,1 k €
Volume 24h0,1 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
- Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026.
- Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
US recession by end of 2026?
2,7 k €Oui: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
792,6 €5.0%: 17%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?
259,9 €Oui: 27.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSJune Unemployment Rate
134,5 €4.4%: 35%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETUS real GDP growth in 2030?
134,1 €2.6% to 3.0%: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
Règles
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
- Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026.
- Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.