PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleOther 51%+3.0%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualite du marche
100 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
8,5 k €
Liquidité
229,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
50.0% / 51.0%
Spread
2.0%
Spread serréVariation 7j
+12.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
17 juin 26, 23:3028 oct. 26, 23:59
Tendances
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Other51%
Grosses transactions
$1.1k61.0%Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? — NoHolyMoses7-8 j
Tendance du volume
$9.7k2 juil.12j de données13 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
877,8 k €Cut 25bps: 1%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike in 2026?
115,2 k €Oui: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
32,2 k €0 (0: 78%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
28,7 k €Pause–Pause–Pause: 79%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?
19,9 k €Above 4.00%: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Next Fed rate hike?
6 k €Before 2027: 57%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket odds for 0 Fed cuts in 2026 slip to 78% after Warsh task forcesBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices July Fed hold at 85.5% after minutes spark repricingBlockchain.News
Fed flags AI inflation risk as rate hike odds climb above 59%Crypto NewsSupreme Court Cook ruling lifts Polymarket July Fed hold odds to 80.5%Blockchain.News
Analysts turn bullish on Applied A & D as Polymarket sees 78% odds of no Fed cutsBlockchain.News
Trump targets Fed Gov Cook as Polymarket puts Starmer exit odds at 91.5%Blockchain.NewsRègles
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.
- The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
- A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.