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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Géopolitique
  3. Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

One-OffGéopolitiqueEurope6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 7%
Qualite du marche

44 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

4,5 €

Liquidité

17,9 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

6.0% / 7.0%

Spread

16.7%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes

8 déc. 25, 0:1231 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes7%

Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Marchés Associés

EU dissolves before 2027?

EU dissolves before 2027?

336,9 €
Oui: 3%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will a new country join NATO before 1 January 2027?

239,8 €
Oui: 8.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

213,1 €
December 31: 13%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

139,4 €
Oui: 6%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Northern Cyprus be recognized by a country other than Turkey before October 2026?

86,6 €
Oui: 13.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

0 €
Italy: 5%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,755.53+2.09%EthereumETH$1,654.77+1.39%SolanaSOL$65.10+1.39%DogecoinDOGE$0.0847+1.30%XRPXRP$1.11+0.22%BNBBNB$596.04+1.69%

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Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.