PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 27%-5.5ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
56 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
810 €
Liquidité
9,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-4.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
26 juil. 26, 22:32 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
NATO article 5 before 2027?
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PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRègles
NATO's Article 4 allows any member to call for consultations with allies if it believes its territorial integrity, political independence, or security to be threatened.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO member invokes Article 4 of the North Atlantic Treaty between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Article 4 is considered invoked as soon as a member formally requests consultations with NATO allies under Article 4, regardless of whether the request is later revoked.
- For example, Poland's request for consultations on September 10, 2025, or Estonia's request on September 24, 2025 would each qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- If a member state only expresses intent to or is considering invoking Article 4, that alone does not suffice for a "Yes" resolution.