Will Article 7 of the EU be employed against Hungary before 2027?
PolitiqueOne-OffGéopolitiqueEurope2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.6%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 39 minutes
15 janv. 24, 11:28 UTC1 janv. 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Another NATO article 4 by which date?
PolymarketNATO article 5 before 2027?
PolymarketMacron activates article 16 of the French constitution (exceptional powers) before April 2027
Manifold MarketsWill NATO article 5 be instigated before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the fundamental law of Hungary define a human being as either male or female on April 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the position of Prime Minister of Hungary have a term limit before April 2030?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Article 7 allows the Council of the EU to revoke membership rights of membership countries, without reducing their membership obligations.
- There is currently talk to invoke this against Hungary, which is using the unanimity requirement of the Council to extract benefits from the EU.
- Article 7 requires:
- 80% of membership states (the 'target country' doesn't get a vote), i.e. 21/26
- Simple majority in the European Parliament
- https://eur-lex.europa.eu/EN/legal-content/glossary/suspension-clause-article-7-of-the-treaty-on-european-union.html
