Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 98.3%
Non 98.3%Prévisionnistes
626
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
2 juil. 24, 10:02 UTC18 nov. 26, 23:00 UTC
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will WW3 happen before GTA7?
Manifold MarketsWill WW3 happen before GTA8?
Manifold MarketsWill WW3 start before gta6?
Manifold MarketsWill any scenes of The White Lotus season 4 be set at a Bilderberg Conference (or similar) event?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the Magic: The Gathering "culturally insensitive cards" be reprinted or unbanned by the end of 2026?
Manifold Marketswill world war 3 start before GTA Vi?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Do you think the third World War will occur before the much-anticipated release of Grand Theft Auto 6? Share your thoughts and predictions in this poll.
- The prediction resolves to yes if war is declared between 2 or more of the super powers before GTA 6's release.
- Edit: declaration may be implicit - 03/07/2024 Edit: human troops are not a must to meet requirements to this question's criteria - 30/01/2025 Edit: length of conflict is also not a must to meet requirements - 30/01/2025
- Edit: fixed a weird comment by the AI summary, sorry for the confusion it may have caused. - 05/04/2025 Edit: small clarification that if GTA is delayed, this question would follow - 05/04/2025 Edit: GTA has been delayed to May 2026, thus this question will follow (https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cjew84ev3yyo) - 03/05/2025 Edit: GTA has been delayed again to November 2026 (https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cwypgvd9j8qo) - 12/11/2025
- Update 2025-01-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Development of Fully Mechanized Armies: The emergence of fully mechanized military forces (e.g., AI-driven drones, autonomous weapons systems) could enable a new form of direct conflict.
- In such a scenario, nations might be able to shield their populations in bunkers while launching large-scale, all-out attacks on their adversaries.
