Will we see a nuclear weapon used to attack another country within the next decade?
GéopolitiqueOne-Off8aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète6 mai 25, 21:15 UTC6 mai 35, 21:13 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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FutuurRègles
Will a country use at least one nuclear weapon against another country from now til 2035?
- Update 2025-05-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that a dirty bomb will count towards a "yes" resolution.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will we see a nuclear weapon used to attack another country within the next decade? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 82% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will we see a nuclear weapon used to attack another country within the next decade? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will we see a nuclear weapon used to attack another country within the next decade? doit être résolu le 6 mai 2035.
- Comment Will we see a nuclear weapon used to attack another country within the next decade? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will a country use at least one nuclear weapon against another country from now til 2035?