Will we have proof that we live in a simulation in the next three years? (before 2028)
One-OffScience1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.8%
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète21 févr. 24, 10:25 UTC31 déc. 27, 22:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Do we live in a simulation?
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Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketRègles
[tweet]First week will be used to write a clear resolution criteria.
- Suggestions are welcome.
- I am considering choosing a panel of trusted people this platform who get to judge available evidence by then and vote on a resolution.
- I guess being able to simulate life to the smallest detail would be a very convincing argument that we are indeed living in a (digital) simulation.