Will Venezuela enter a new hot war with anyone by the end of 2026?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffLatin America3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93%
Prévisionnistes
69
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète9 sept. 25, 16:20 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Whether the United States, Guyana, another country, or a civil war, this market resolves Yes if Venezuela is in a new entry on Wikipedia's active conflicts page in the Minor or Major Wars categories by the end of 2026.
- This does not include the existing Colombian-Venezuelan conflict entry.
- Obvious wiki vandalizm doesn't count either, and Venezuela's participation in the conflict must be actively martial to count if they are added as a new beligerent to an existing war.
- Feel free to ask clarifying questions in the comments.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Venezuela enter a new hot war with anyone by the end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 93% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Venezuela enter a new hot war with anyone by the end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Venezuela enter a new hot war with anyone by the end of 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Venezuela enter a new hot war with anyone by the end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Whether the United States, Guyana, another country, or a civil war, this market resolves Yes if Venezuela is in a new entry on Wikipedia's active conflicts page in the Minor or Major Wars categories by the end of 2026.