Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 63%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète24 août 26, 19:42 UTC31 déc. 22, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill rank first for public universities in 2027?
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ForecastExNobel Prize in Literature: 2026
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Dr. Bryan Roth is announced as a winner of a Nobel Prize (typically in Physiology or Medicine, or Chemistry) specifically for his work on DREADDs (Designer Receptors Exclusively Activated by Designer Drugs) or chemogenetics.
- The market will resolve to NO if he does not win the prize on or before the market's close date.
- If another set of researchers is awarded a Nobel Prize specifically for the development of chemogenetics/DREADDs without Bryan Roth being included as a co-laureate, the market will also resolve to NO.
- The official announcements on the Nobel Prize website will serve as the source of truth.
- Dr. Bryan Roth is the Michael Hooker Distinguished Professor of Pharmacology at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Marchés ouverts
Science
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+3 résultats de plus
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KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt21%
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KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2030+8.9pt80%
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- Above 0-4.0pt35%
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KALSHIWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved?
- Before 203538.9%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will University of North Carolina researcher Bryan Roth win the Nobel Prize for his DREADDs research? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 63% au 15 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will University of North Carolina researcher Bryan Roth win the Nobel Prize for his DREADDs research? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will University of North Carolina researcher Bryan Roth win the Nobel Prize for his DREADDs research? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2222.
- Comment Will University of North Carolina researcher Bryan Roth win the Nobel Prize for his DREADDs research? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria