Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Before 2300 98%En tête parmi 11 options
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète7 janv. 25, 18:36 UTC4 mars 30, 02:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Bryan Johnson come out against linoleic acid before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Bryan Johnson die with age 10+ years greater than the life expectancy for the time of his death?
Manifold MarketsWill Bryan Johnson die of natural causes?
Manifold MarketsWill Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
PolymarketWill Bryan Johnson have sex again by which date?
PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiRègles
Bryan Johnson, age 47 (as of 2024), is a tech entrepreneur known for his extreme anti-aging efforts through his Blueprint Protocol.
- He reportedly spends millions annually on a rigorous regimen of over 100 daily supplements, specialized diet, and extensive medical monitoring aimed at reducing his biological age.
- Johnson claims his biological measurements show the body of a 37-year-old.
- Resolution Criteria
- Market will resolve YES for the earliest applicable timeframe in which Bryan Johnson dies.
- For example, if Johnson dies in 2027, "the named outcome" would resolve YES while "the named outcome" would resolve NO.
Marchés ouverts
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 18,3 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2 k €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume total
- 916 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 863,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1 k €
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Bryan Johnson die? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Before 2300 à 98% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will Bryan Johnson die? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Bryan Johnson die? doit être résolu le 4 mars 2030.
- Comment When will Bryan Johnson die? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Bryan Johnson, age 47 (as of 2024), is a tech entrepreneur known for his extreme anti-aging efforts through his Blueprint Protocol.