PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 94.1%
Non 94.1%Qualité du marché
75 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
4,6 k €
Liquidité
17,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
5.0% / 6.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
5 oct. 26, 19:47 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Confirmed pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?
PolymarketWill the Irkutsk Anti-Plague institute incident turn into an outbreak?
Manifold MarketsWill a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
KalshiWill a case linked to the Irkutsk plague be reported outside Irkutsk Oblast by November 1?
Manifold MarketsPlague declared public health emergency by which date?
PolymarketNew pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the disease or outbreak as a "pandemic".
- A Public Health Emergency of International Concern alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.