Will Bryan Johnson die with age 10+ years greater than the life expectancy for the time of his death?
One-OffHealth & MedicineScience4a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 55.8%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète13 janv. 25, 04:57 UTC1 janv. 31, 02:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Bryan Johnson die of natural causes?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Bryan Johnson die?
Manifold MarketsWill Bryan Johnson get cockatoo by 2035
Manifold MarketsWill Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
PolymarketWill Bryan Johnson have sex again by which date?
PolymarketWhich countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
KalshiRègles
Background Bryan Johnson, a 47-year-old tech entrepreneur, has gained attention for his extreme anti-aging regimen called Blueprint.
- He reportedly spends $2 million annually on various treatments and interventions aimed at extending his lifespan, including a strict diet, exercise routine, and numerous supplements.
- Johnson claims his biological measurements show signs of age reversal, though these claims are disputed by some medical professionals.
- The current U.S. life expectancy is approximately 76.4 years, though this figure will likely change by the time of Johnson's death.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if:
- Bryan Johnson dies at an age that is at least 10 years greater than the life expectancy reported by the CDC or WHO (whichever is higher) for the year of his death for the USA.
Marchés ouverts
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 18,3 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2 k €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume total
- 916 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 863,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1 k €
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Bryan Johnson die with age 10+ years greater than the life expectancy for the time of his death? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 56% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Bryan Johnson die with age 10+ years greater than the life expectancy for the time of his death? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Bryan Johnson die with age 10+ years greater than the life expectancy for the time of his death? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2031.
- Comment Will Bryan Johnson die with age 10+ years greater than the life expectancy for the time of his death? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Background Bryan Johnson, a 47-year-old tech entrepreneur, has gained attention for his extreme anti-aging regimen called Blueprint.